rugrat0ne Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 Well, looks like Gooblah's a sure lock for tomorrow. Famous last words, I know. Think I'm going to make bets around Gooblah and Federismo. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Octopus Posted January 26, 2011 Share Posted January 26, 2011 ^^I make my own bets. Usually I choose 2:1 or 4:1 as I don't want to invest too much in FC. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rugrat0ne Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Well, Tracey's (Jamila's) guide is up, and I found one that looks similar to what I came up with, with two exceptions, as I put in some just-in-case bets should either Gooblah or Fed lose tomorrow. If they both lose...well, I won't be a happy camper. That set of bets is here. I've decided to hold my earnings starting today to see if I can get a trophy of some sort. I'm not hopeful, but it's an experiment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fever Posted January 27, 2011 Author Share Posted January 27, 2011 Well, looks like Gooblah's a sure lock for tomorrow. Famous last words, I know. Think I'm going to make bets around Gooblah and Federismo. Haha. Famous last words true XD I think I'm gonna suggest Jamila today.. Just checked Shazeni, nothin'. Well, Tracey's (Jamila's) guide is up, and I found one that looks similar to what I came up with, with two exceptions, as I put in some just-in-case bets should either Gooblah or Fed lose tomorrow. If they both lose...well, I won't be a happy camper. That set of bets is here. I've decided to hold my earnings starting today to see if I can get a trophy of some sort. I'm not hopeful, but it's an experiment. Oh cool :D I'm probably gonna suggest either Malv or Jamila today... Tehe, I probably won't try for that stuff for a while so I can get my earnings faster... xD Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rugrat0ne Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 Well, I've decided to join the Monthly Competition on the Games Board, and part of it involves how much you collect at once, so I've got to get used to it. Hugo (the guy I posted earlier) is one of the people that runs it. EDIT: A lot of the odds have changed, making many of the 2:1's stronger for today. The Food Club Review has posted their picks for today. Gooblah and Fed and a lot of Tailhook. Higher wins, but it's up to you as to whether Tailhook's a lock for Hidden Cove. There is one bet covering Puffo. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fever Posted January 27, 2011 Author Share Posted January 27, 2011 Well, I've decided to join the Monthly Competition on the Games Board, and part of it involves how much you collect at once, so I've got to get used to it. Hugo (the guy I posted earlier) is one of the people that runs it. EDIT: A lot of the odds have changed, making many of the 2:1's stronger for today. The Food Club Review has posted their picks for today. Gooblah and Fed and a lot of Tailhook. Higher wins, but it's up to you as to whether Tailhook's a lock for Hidden Cove. There is one bet covering Puffo. Ohhh! Cool :D Good luck! D'you think I should try it? Now there's a good guild to make, a food club club guild! Would any members join it if I made it eventually? Puffo's definitely snuck up on bettors a few times, but then again so has Tailhook. Seems like an even balance, so that safety looks good. What do Jamila/Shazeni/Malvo's bets look like? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Octopus Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 A guild sounds like a great idea. I might join even though I'm not that invested in FC :D. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zoologynerd Posted January 27, 2011 Share Posted January 27, 2011 That's great, Laura. I think I've got my bets narrowed down. I'm avoiding Treasure Island and Lagoon entirely, as the odds are too close there. I'm a little worried that I don't have any real safeties, but not sure what I'd cut from the bets I've got written down. I think I'll be okay though. Don't want to over think it again! Good luck! :) Treasure Island: Gooblah the Grarrl Harpoon Harry's: Federismo Corvallio 500 NP put in 4:1 2000 NP hopefully in return :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rugrat0ne Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Stupid Orvinn, ruin my bets. I got nothing today. Still working on sorting out tomorrow's bets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Octopus Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Federismo Corvallio lost even though he was 2:1? What horrible luck... :sad01_anim:. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rugrat0ne Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Well, there were other factors, but it was still an upset. Tracey (Jamila), Hugo (Malvoliow) and another one I track, Christie (Emeryn_M1R3M), all have their bets up for today. Tracey's are probably the safest, limiting herself to 3 arenas, and putting in lots of safeties. Hugo and Christie both go with 4 arenas, with Hugo preferring stacking bets of 3 pirate combos, and Christie loading most of her bets with 4 pirates each. Christie has 4 safeties, not relying solely on Gooblah and Fed. Her line up is Fairfax/Lucky, Fairfax/Bonnie Pip, Gooblah/Scurvy Dan, and Gooblah/Stuff-A-Roo. Hugo's got a Fairfax/Fed bet in case Gooblah loses, and only the 10:1 Gooblah/Scurvy Dan bet if Fed should lose again, which would mean he'd break even, but that's it. If I had to choose between these two, I'd go with Christie. In fact, I may. But Jamila is probably your best overall bet if you want to stay on the safe side. EDIT: Greylorn (The Food Club Review) has his bets up. I'd rate these as risky, as they depend, not on Buck or Fran, the two 2:1 pirates at Harpoon Harry's, but rather Puffo (6:1) and Ned (10:1). Still, an interesting option nonetheless. EDIT 2: Lukas (Shazeni) finally has his bets up. They are very safe, with him pairing both Scurvy Dan and Federismo with everyone from the Lagoon arena, with Gooblah as a multiplier. Two Fairfax bets round out the set. Like he says, you'll probably win a 12:1 with this, but I think you'll win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fever Posted January 28, 2011 Author Share Posted January 28, 2011 Tadaa! I updated the main page with bet suggestions =) Also, FCC is starting Debates! Kinda spur-of-the-moment idea, but they'll be on either the FC, or Neopets in general, and last until we've nearly exhausted the topic or until we just want a new one. The first debate is... *drumroll* Why does weight affect how a pirate eats at the FC? Let's try and stay logical, but heck: even some crazy ideas work. =) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manta Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Just broke 600k again today with one of Jamila's safeties. made about 20k profit on the bet :D woohoo!! :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rugrat0ne Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 Yeah, it was 16:10 all around, except for greylorn (Food Club Review) who once again had 0:10. I made 16:10 on my own bets, so that was good. And I was right that Puffo was going to win, even though I didn't bet on him. Wish Gooblah would have won though. I don't think weight factors in at all. Most guides I've seen discount it entirely. It's all about strength, and food adjustment (Favorites - Allergies). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Octopus Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I'm getting frustrated with my 2:1 bets constantly losing. I think I'm going to stop Food Clubbing for now :(. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rugrat0ne Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Arena Breakdown for Round #4306, Jan. 29, 2011 Fever asked me to do a breakdown of the possibilities in today’s betting, for those who want to do it themselves, or want to understand why certain bets are popular. Disclaimer: I am new at this, and do not claim any special ability at analyzing Food Club stats. Use at your own risk. I do my betting based on the points outlined in Revenge’s Food Club Guide. I encourage you to read it and experiment on your own, like I did. Stats given, in order, are Pirate Name, Current Odds, Strength, and Food Adjustment (Favorites - Allergies). They were nice and neat in my Word document, but won’t be here. Shipwreck: Pirate Name Odds Strength F.A. Peg Leg Percival 13:1 73 -1 The Tailhook Kid 13:1 81 -2 Buck Cutlass 2:1 89 +2 Fairfax the Deckhand 11:1 71 +1 Both handicapped with negative Food Adjustments, I think we can probably rule out Peg Leg and Tailhook for upsets. Buck looks to make a strong showing, but keep Fairfax in mind as a safety. He might just upset. Lagoon: Pirate Name Odds Strength F.A. Franchisco Corvallio 2:1 81 +1 Orvinn the 1st Mate 13:1 52 0 Bonnie Pip Culliford 2:1 76 +3 Stuff-A-Roo 13:1 59 +1 Bonnie Pip has the strongest stats, but don’t discount Franchisco, either. His strength may count for him. Stuff-A-Roo is a possible wild card here, despite his low strength, and I think Orvinn is out of the running. Treasure Island: Pirate Name Odds Strength F.A. Lucky McKyriggan 7:1 82 0 Admiral Blackbeard 8:1 76 +2 Squire Venable 13:1 61 -2 Federismo Corvallio 2:1 81 +3 This is a tough arena today. Squire Venable is out of it, I think, but the other three are all possible contenders. Fed looks good with his +3 Food Adjustment, but the other two are right behind him. Blackbeard’s already upset once this week, and might do it again. You may want to avoid this arena all together. Hidden Cove: Pirate Name Odds Strength F.A. Ned the Skipper 10:1 79 -2 Ol’ Stripey 12:1 74 0 Sir Edmund Ogletree 2:1 79 +1 Puffo the Waister 2:1 68 +4 Puffo could win this one easily, but his low strength means we have to consider the other 2:1, Sir Edmund Ogletree, as well. I don’t believe Ned and Stripey are threats, in fact, I’m expecting Ned’s odds to go higher as the day progresses. Harpoon Harry’s: Pirate Name Odds Strength F.A. Young Sproggie 13:1 73 +2 Scurvy Dan the Blade 7:1 87 +2 Captain Crossblades 13:1 66 -2 Gooblah the Grarrl 2:1 93 +2 Another tough match-up. The two winningest pirates, both with +2 FA, up against each other. Gooblah’s always a good bet, but Scurvy Dan is too, despite his odds. These may lower over time. Young Sproggie rounds it out as a threat to upset. Crossblades can probably be safely ruled out this time around. EDIT: Purple is for odds that have changed as of 8pm NST. Dan went up a little, instead of down as I thought, making Gooblah a stronger bet. Also a lot of changes in Treasure Island, with both Lucky and Blackbeard going up as well, making Fed a better choice. Finally, Fairfax goes up to 11:1, clearing the way for Buck, but could still be a good safety bet. EDIT 2: As of this morning, Stuff-A-Roo is now at 13:1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
m0ose_ Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Hi. I'm a new Food Clubber, and I have a question. Today I woke up at noon, and I check out the Food Club for today. "Next match: Saturday the 29 th at 02:00 PM NST." Sweet, I think to myself, I have time to put some thought into my bets. Not that it took me an hour to do it, but at about 1:00PM, I went up to use the restroom and when I came back, the round had taken place, and I couldn't place any more bets. It was a confusing experience all around. Just wanted to know if this has ever happened to you. It still says "Next match: Saturday the 29 th at 02:00 PM NST," but all the next round info is different. Can anyone explain this to me? Thanks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Annie Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 I made that mistake as well. Even though it says that this round is over at 2NST, the winners for that same round are already announced at 1NST. So you need to make sure to place your bets BEFORE 1NST if you want to get into that round. I have read that this is because of Daylight Savings, so the problem will be fixed when we change the clock again :\ At least you didn't bet on the new round. I accidentally did that, and realized that the pirates I bet on weren't even in the arena they were supposed to be in. I submitted a ticket to TNT, and they just told me that this is a known bug and that my bet would not be returned to me <_< In short, TNT knows about this but they are not doing anything to fix it. Place your bets before 1:00NST Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xLaura Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 ummmm yeah, i went to food club to check it out like 2 minutes ago, saw i won like 36k, then was like...either i didnt collect from yesterday(which i remember doing) orrrrr something weird is afoot.went to make a bet..gates closed. thanks for telling me about the dst thing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
m0ose_ Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Durn! Lazy TNT! It's a good thing to be aware of for my future betting, though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Back to December Posted January 29, 2011 Share Posted January 29, 2011 Food Club is awesome. I risked a bit today, ended up with around 230k winnings. :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fever Posted January 30, 2011 Author Share Posted January 30, 2011 Hi. I'm a new Food Clubber, and I have a question. Today I woke up at noon, and I check out the Food Club for today. "Next match: Saturday the 29 th at 02:00 PM NST." Sweet, I think to myself, I have time to put some thought into my bets. Not that it took me an hour to do it, but at about 1:00PM, I went up to use the restroom and when I came back, the round had taken place, and I couldn't place any more bets. It was a confusing experience all around. Just wanted to know if this has ever happened to you. It still says "Next match: Saturday the 29 th at 02:00 PM NST," but all the next round info is different. Can anyone explain this to me? Thanks Yes, it's a glitch - sadly. You always have to be careful to bet before 1pm (because of Daylight Savings Time I guess), otherwise you can't bet for that round. I suggest all the guides listed on our first page, and reading through Ruggy and my suggestions as well :) AND, Rugrat posts a bit about the bets each day as well. If you want to join our club, the application is on the front page :) I made that mistake as well. Even though it says that this round is over at 2NST, the winners for that same round are already announced at 1NST. So you need to make sure to place your bets BEFORE 1NST if you want to get into that round. I have read that this is because of Daylight Savings, so the problem will be fixed when we change the clock again :\ At least you didn't bet on the new round. I accidentally did that, and realized that the pirates I bet on weren't even in the arena they were supposed to be in. I submitted a ticket to TNT, and they just told me that this is a known bug and that my bet would not be returned to me <_< In short, TNT knows about this but they are not doing anything to fix it. Place your bets before 1:00NST yeah. It took me a day or two to remember to bet quickly xD I just wish I could get on Neopets at school so I could bet more easily on weekdays >.< I don't think there really is anything that they could do about it besides see if they could make it so when the actual clock part shows the right time that it runs... Meh. It's not the absolute worst thing in the world. xP Do you want to join, too? :) ummmm yeah, i went to food club to check it out like 2 minutes ago, saw i won like 36k, then was like...either i didnt collect from yesterday(which i remember doing) orrrrr something weird is afoot.went to make a bet..gates closed. thanks for telling me about the dst thing Yeah. That's what happens to me, too :P Although one god thing does come out of it: you can preview the odds and stats and stuff. More time to formulate bets and ideas on what you want to look for in pre-written guides. I don't think there's anything wrong with collecting your bets early, at least, because it IS a bug that TNT knows about but they can't do anything about *shrug* -- Anyone care to talk about how pirate's strength/weight would count towards stats/odds? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rugrat0ne Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Arena Breakdown for Round #4307, Jan. 30, 2011 Here is one breakdown of the possibilities in today’s betting, for those who want to do it themselves, or want to understand why certain bets are popular. Disclaimer: I am new at this, and do not claim any special ability at analyzing Food Club stats. Use at your own risk. I do my betting based on the points outlined in Revenge’s Food Club Guide. I encourage you to read it and experiment on your own, like I did. A good example of how strength influences odds today, we have many pirates at 2:1 with negative Food Adjustments. Stats given, in order, are Pirate Name, Current Odds, Strength, and Food Adjustment (Favorites - Allergies). They were nice and neat in my Word document, but won’t be here. Shipwreck: Pirate Name Odds Strength F.A. Ned the Skipper 7:1 79 0 Squire Venable 13:1 61 -1 Ol’ Stripey 5:1 74 +3 Buck Cutlass 2;1 89 -2 With Buck dealing with a negative FA (-2), Ol’ Stripey might pull out another win. Ned’s still in the running despite a 0 FA, and Squire Venable is probably out of it. Lagoon: Pirate Name Odds Strength F.A. Fairfax the Deckhand 13:1 71 0 The Tailhook Kid 2:1 81 +2 Stuff-A-Roo 13:1 59 0 Admiral Blackbeard 2:1 76 +1 Two 2:1’s and two 13:1’s. Tailhook has a slight edge in both strength and FA, but I’d cover both him and Blackbeard if I were betting this arena. Treasure Island: Pirate Name Odds Strength F.A. Puffo the Waister 13:1 68 +3 Bonnie Pip Culliford 9:1 76 +2 Lucky McKyriggan 7:1 82 0 Gooblah the Grarrl 2:1 93 -1 Usually, Gooblah is a lock to win, but that may not be the case today. Many I know are covering Lucky and Bonnie as well, with some throwing Puffo in as a safety, to boot. Go Gooblah, but have some back-ups, seems to be the strategy for today. Hidden Cove: Pirate Name Odds Strength F.A. Federismo Corvallio 2;1 81 +2 Orvinn the First Mate 6:1 52 +4 Young Sproggie 4:1 73 +1 Captain Crossblades 3:1 66 +3 A tough arena, with a lot of close odds and good FA’s. Best advice is either to stay away entirely, or try to cover them all. Harpoon Harry’s: Pirate Name Odds Strength F.A. Sir Edmund Ogletree 13:1 79 +2 Franchisco Corvallio 5:1 81 +6 Scurvy Dan the Blade 2:1 87 +8 Peg Leg Percival 13:1 73 -1 Yes, you’re reading that right. Scurvy Dan has a +8 FA, and some make him a lock to win. I tend to err on the safe side and would put in a few Franchisco bets as well. But making Dan the base of your betting set isn’t a bad idea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xLaura Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 all of jamila's bets today relied on gooblah heavily, i went alon g with it because she hasn't failed me yet...but it still makes me a tad nervioso Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manta Posted January 30, 2011 Share Posted January 30, 2011 Went with Shazeni's bets for today. Looks like they hit a 104:1 yesterday which is disappointing cause I wasn't around. Hopefully today will be good as well :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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