happysparklez

After a ton of debating, I decided to go with Team Snow. 
 
Today's challenges were easy :D

Team Fire! Already off to a great start, here's hoping the challenges stay this easy.

Team FIRE over here! Anyone else? :happydance: :dance:
 
Also... I finished my two challenges for the day! Today was super easy.

The latest installment of Games Master Challenge is here and this year, you get to join Team Fire or Team Snow! Play games, complete challenges and earn prizes to help your team win!
 

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I have been using a selling point of 60 for the stocks. (Thank goodness for you guys who like to look and interpret data...) If I'm understanding correctly, this means that the most profitable selling point is at around 75? Thanks so much for this info! :laughingsmiley:

Thanks for all the welcomes and the neofriend requests, guys 0:)
And yeahhhh I love Supernatural. Castiel is mah love. I'm such a dork.

Hello everyone. :D My name is Brittany. I've been on Neo for ages on one account or another and I've just joined TDN forums to have another great outlet for Neopets chat! I've been on Neopets and using TDN for a long time, just never got arounf to using the forums. :P Anyway, just thought I'd say hi.

I decided to do a little Give Away, leading up to Thanksgiving. Although we do not celebrate it in Belgium, I know many of you do so I thought it might be a fun idea. 
I have selected heaps of doubles of books and clothing items from my SDB and closet to donate here, because I love this little community and how everyone is here for another, to help out with questions or even items. It seemed like a small thing to do in return. 

Now, how does this work;
Each user can choose 5 numbers, ranging from 1 to 250. You will receive the items I have put with those numbers around Thanksgiving Day.
- You are not allowed to enter more than once unless I say so. 
- Each number can only be picked once.
- Items can not be swapped for something else. 
- I will not tell you what they are beforehand. 
- There is no logic to it, every item is put with a random number. 
- Once you have received the items you are absolutely free to do with them as you please. 
 
They are not rare and expensive items but I hope everyone will be thankful and pleased nonetheless. 

That being said; GIFTS FOR EVERYONE
 

Numbers still available:
 
58
61 62 68
74 79
86
91 93 94
108 109
117
120
131 132
141 142 144 146 147
152 153 154 165
172 173 174 178 179
182 184 186
193 195 197
204
214 217
226 228 229
233 239
240 241
 
 
@pandette  5 is already taken.
 
@scultone 7 and 249 are already taken.
 
@Kute 201, 9, 3 and 177 are already taken.
 
@Mudd256 118 is already taken.
 
@chaquita 27 and 203 are already taken.
 
@Musical_Shoyru 116, 16 and 27 are already taken.
 
@MendedWhisper 190, 114 and 164 are already taken.
 
@toxic crusader 244 is already taken.
 
@Sumikan 138 and 140 are already taken.
 
 
I'll try to keep this post updated.

Yes I think the idea on Neodaq is to pick the highest selling point you are willing to wait for, and score cards say how often each stock runs from buy-point to your desired sell point.
  Individual stocks would be interesting. Actually I have been meaning to analyse whether stocks really do have distinct performance. The idea of the report cards is to buy based on past performance right? But I am suspicious whether past performance really is a good indicator of future performance, and whether different stocks really do behave very different except by random chance.   I made a quick graph below, which plots each stock's average days/run for sell point 30 in the first ~6 years against the second ~6 years.     (You can ignore the two outliers)   It looks to me like they are random, with no correlation between past and future performance. (sorry Neodaq!) If I do any further analysis I will post the results.   ALSO, I realised that the Neodaq website says Days/Runs is "Average number of days between runs up to the Sell point with a buyable point inbetween", which means it will actually be greater than the time you spend waiting... I will have to consider what to replace the average days/run with, but this means that the actual best selling points will be higher. (Having a look at my spreadsheet, halving the average days makes the optimum prices between 79 and 86, so the actual best selling price may be around 75-79.)

I was thinking the values in my above post is a bit abstract, even I'm not sure how to explain in some concrete term what it means to myself lol, so I made more concrete values in the table below.
  The idea to explain some more is that if you sell sooner at a lower price, you will start earning interest on the np you get back sooner, which might be more money than you get from waiting until the stock goes higher. For an extreme example if you wait for shares to be 500np, it may take like 50 years or something, by which time you could actually earn more from interest on the original 15np.   Summary description of the procedure: Suppose you spend 15np on a share, sell at a certain price, bank the np, and collect interest on that daily at 12.5%. Assuming it takes exactly the average number of days, the table below shows how many np you will have after 5 years (1825 days). The formula (using variables in original post) is   sell * interest ^ (days - average) = sell * (1 + 0.125/365) ^ (1825 - average)     Sell Days  Final np after 5 years (1825 days) 15       0.0  28.0 20     70.0  36.5 30   160.5  53.0 45   288.0  76.2 60   415.6  97.2 61   425.9  98.5 62   449.7  99.3 63   469.7  100.2 64   486.4  101.2 65   505.3  102.1 66   529.6  102.8 67   563.5  103.2 68   589.9  103.8 69   623.8  104.1 70   649.8  104.7 71   677.4  105.2 72   723.3  105.0 73   751.0  105.4 74   780.4  105.8 75   816.2  105.9 76   888.1  104.7 77   930.5  104.6 78   993.2  103.7 79  1049.4 103.0 80  1139.4 101.2 81  1227.4  99.4 82  1308.9  97.9 83  1394.3  96.2 84  1442.8  95.7 85  1495.2  95.2 86  1549.5  94.5 87  1658.6  92.1 88  1726.5  91.0 89  1808.4  89.5   (Notice that the best values are the same as in my above post.)   Just multiply the np by 1000 for how much you will have after buying 1000 shares.   Selling at 15 effectively means not investing at all and just getting interest. If you sell at 89, it takes almost 5 years to get to the sell point anyway so you have hardly any time to earn interest and get little more than the 89 for selling the stock.

So suppose you are busy and don't have much time to play every day, but can spare a couple of minutes to do dailies over a long period of time? I believe the most profitable dailies are stock market and bank interest. I was thinking of what the best sell price for stock is to make the most from the margin without losing as much from interest (on the 15np/share while waiting to sell edit: and also the interest you lose on the profit you would have made from selling earlier). In summary I decided 71 was a good minimum selling point for stock with an Ultimate Riches account (12.5% interest). I don't know if anyone has done similar caculations before but I thought I'd share mine.
  So in summary: you have an Ultimate Riches account, and daily buy 1000 shares in stock at 15np, investing broadly over all stocks. What price should you sell shares at to maximise profit?   I used the neodaq.com's data miner (<http://www.neodaq.com/charts/RunMine.php>)to calculate average days/run for all stocks for different selling points (from memory I think I used the default variables or 15-18 for buy range, 10 days for full buy period, 0.5 price derating factor). I collected data from start to August 2015.   Let "sell" be the selling price, "average" the average days per run, "interest" the daily interest multiplier (in this case about 1 + .125/365), "days" the number of days you keep collecting interest for.   Then, the expected total profit from the 15np you spent is: sell * interest ^ (days - average) - 15. To simplifiy I took out "days" as the values compare the same so the formula is: sell * interest ^ -average - 15, which I guess is like profit minus interest lost.   Table of values I calculated (sorry don't know how to make proper table):   Sell  Avg days  Profit minus interest lost
15    0.0         0.0 20    70.0       4.5 30    160.5     13.4 45    288.0     25.8 60    415.6     37.0 61    425.9     37.7 62    449.7     38.2 63    469.7     38.6 64    486.4     39.2 65    505.3     39.7 66    529.6     40.1 67    563.5     40.2 68    589.9     40.6 69    623.8     40.7 70    649.8     41.0 71    677.4     41.3 72    723.3     41.2 73    751.0     41.4 74    780.4     41.6 75    816.2     41.7 76    888.1     41.1 77    930.5     41.0 78    993.2     40.5 79    1049.4    40.2 80    1139.4    39.2 81    1227.4    38.2 82    1308.9    37.4 83    1394.3    36.5 84    1442.8    36.3 85    1495.2    35.9 86    1549.5    35.6 87    1658.6    34.3 88    1726.5    33.7 89    1808.4    32.9 90    1931.4    31.5 91    2035.2    30.3 92    2161.0    28.9 93    2389.5    26.0 94    2474.4    25.3 95    2565.5    24.5 100   3368.5    16.6 115   4767.2    7.5 130   6426.7    -0.6 145   7324.4    -3.2 250   15889.7   -13.9 500   41962.8   -15.0     In bold are the best values.
 
These are rough figures for example I assume the average profit is the same as the profit for the average wait time, and also trends may change in the future, and whatever else I didn't think of.
 
It would be interesting to compare with anyone else who has done similar, or anyone who would like to refine my calculations.